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Tensions rise in the Middle East, questions about the impact of the word ‘ceasefire’ 

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. Despite ceasefires announced on various fronts in the Middle East, the prospects for lasting peace remain uncertain as fighting intensifies across the region.

Claims of a formal ceasefire in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran have not stopped violence on the ground, raising questions about the very efficacy of the word “ceasefire”.TAG_OPEN_div_59

In the past few weeks, Israeli forces have expanded their control over Gaza, seizing more territory, killing dozens of people, including top Hamas fighters.TAG_OPEN_div_57 Meanwhile, the Israeli army in Lebanon has carried out its worst military offensive in decades. Hezbollah continues to fire rockets into northern Israel.

U.S. President Donald Trump said the two sides had agreed to de-escalate tensions in Lebanon.TAG_OPEN_div_55 But the fighting on the battlefield has not stopped.

While the United States and Iran are also trying to broker a permanent ceasefire, limited clashes have continued.TAG_OPEN_div_53 Iran maintains control over the Strait of Hormuz, while the US side has tried to tighten its blockade on Iranian ports. This has put more pressure on global energy supply.

Although neither side has formally announced its withdrawal from the ceasefire entirely, in practice the agreements appear to be weakening.

Israel has said that the ceasefire in Gaza, which began after the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, will be the basis for peace, but there has been little progress since then.TAG_OPEN_div_49 Accusations that Hamas has refused to disarm and that the Israeli military is still advancing.

According to local sources, more than nine and TAG_OPEN_div_47 a half million Palestinians in Gaza are forced to live in unsanitary tent camps. Sanitation, water and health problems have made life difficult.

The United States and Israel blame Hamas, saying the lack of disarmament has hampered the process, while Hamas accuses Israel of repeated ceasefire violations that have killed hundreds, including women and children.TAG_OPEN_div_45

Israel controls about 60 percent of Gaza.TAG_OPEN_div_43 This was only about half of what it was before the ceasefire. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has hinted at an increase in control, which US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said is incompatible with Washington’s peace plan.

The impact of the ceasefire in Lebanon has also been weak. Clashes between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah continue in the south. Israeli forces raised their flag at the Beaufort Fortress in what was seen as the deepest military entry in decades, and Hezbollah launched rocket attacks into northern Israel.

Even after the 2024 ceasefire, Israeli attacks have not stopped and Hezbollah has not fully accepted the agreement.TAG_OPEN_div_39 Israel has said it will continue fighting until its northern region is secured.

Meanwhile, Iran insists that Lebanon’s situation should be included in any long-term deal with the United States.TAG_OPEN_div_37 This has further complicated the negotiations.

Tensions are also continuing in the Strait of Hormuz. The US side is tightening sanctions and Iran is increasing its military activities in response. There have been drone and missile attacks between the two sides in recent days.

After Iran shot down a US drone over the weekend, the United States and Iran have stepped up further military operations and attempted attacks on US military bases in the Gulf.TAG_OPEN_div_33

TAG_OPEN_div_31 According to analysts, the current situation in the Middle East is an example of the fact that the war has not stopped in practice, even if there is a formal agreement. This has raised questions about the credibility of the word “ceasefire”.

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